The California Crown at Santa Anita promises to be a thrilling showdown among some of the best dirt horses in training, highlighting an intriguing mix of established older competitors and ambitious 3-year-olds.
A Closer Look at the Contenders
Older Dirt Males:
1. National Treasure: The reigning leader in this division, National Treasure, holds the spotlight thanks to his Grade 1 victories in the Pegasus World Cup and Met Mile. Although he hasn't been flawless—particularly on off-tracks—his strong season puts him in a commanding position. A victory this weekend would likely secure him the Eclipse Award.
2. Señor Buscador: This horse is in a precarious situation. Although he has an impressive résumé with international wins, he has yet to secure a victory on U.S. soil in 2024. A win at the California Crown is not just an opportunity; it's a necessity if he hopes to remain in Eclipse contention.
3. Muth: After a brief hiatus, Muth returned to form with a win in the Shared Belief Stakes. His potential to achieve greatness is tantalising; defeating established older horses like National Treasure and Señor Buscador would elevate his status significantly in the eyes of voters who come to Breeders' Cup time.
4. Newgate & Subsanador: Both are formidable competitors, adding depth to the race. Newgate has a Santa Anita Handicap win under his belt, and Subsanador looks to rebound after a solid win at Monmouth. Their presence cannot be overlooked as wild cards in this competition.
Implications for the Rankings
- Eclipse Stakes: National Treasure’s potential win could cement him as the standout in the older male division. For Señor Buscador, the stakes couldn’t be higher; without a win, his Eclipse dreams could be dashed. As for Muth, the possibility of a Grade 1 win against seasoned veterans would truly mark him as a major threat in both his division and the overall Eclipse race.
- 3-Year-Old Male Division: Muth's victory would align him with his peers like Fierceness and Seize the Grey, all of whom are in the running for top honours in their category. The significance of a young horse outpacing established veterans would certainly reshape the conversation surrounding 3-year-olds and their impact on the season.
The California Crown is positioned as one of the most significant races of the year, not only for its immediate purse but also for its long-term implications in the division rankings. As all eyes turn to Santa Anita, the outcomes of this race will undoubtedly reverberate through the rest of the season, shaping the narratives leading into the Breeders' Cup. Whether it’s National Treasure solidifying his high standing, Señor Buscador fighting for redemption, or Muth making a statement as a rising star, expect a battle of epic proportions that could define the roundtable discussions of racing enthusiasts for months to come.